Schedule analysis: Which teams will The Citadel’s opponents face before playing the Bulldogs? What about afterwards? Sandwich games? Look-aheads?

Sometimes, the schedule works in your favor, and sometimes it doesn’t. For this post, I’m going to review the games teams play the week before facing The Citadel…and what they have lined up the following week…and well, a few other games along the way.

Are there “look ahead” games? What about “sandwich” games? Does anyone have a bye week before playing the Bulldogs?

Let’s check it out.

August 30 — North Dakota State at The Citadel, noon ET

It is the season opener for both teams, so there are obviously no games the week before for either squad. In last year’s finale, The Citadel rolled up 288 yards rushing against ACC champ Clemson, while North Dakota State won its final contest of the season by three points.

The week after facing The Citadel, NDSU is on the road again, heading to Nashville to take on Tennessee State. The Tigers made the playoffs last year, but have since lost head coach Eddie George (who took the Bowling Green job in the spring) and a sizable chunk of the postseason roster. At least one statistics maven has asserted that TSU ranks last in returning production among all FCS teams.

NDSU debuts at home on September 13 against Southeast Missouri State, then has a bye before beginning MVFC play on September 27 with a Homecoming matchup versus South Dakota (which defeated the Bison last year).

September 6 — The Citadel at Samford, 3:30 pm ET

Samford hosts West Georgia on Thursday, August 28, so SU will get two extra days of preparation before facing The Citadel in the league opener for both teams (and has the added benefit of staying at home). Don’t expect Samford to look past West Georgia, however, as the Wolves upset the Birmingham Bulldogs last season. That was actually WGU’s first game as an FCS team.

After playing The Citadel, Samford will travel to Waco for a matchup against Baylor and its highly regarded quarterback, Sawyer Robertson. That will be a very difficult road opener, and is the first of two straight games away from home for SU, which faces Western Carolina in Cullowhee on September 20.

Samford’s final road game of the year, by the way, is also against a Power 4 opponent from the state of Texas, as SU plays at Texas A&M on November 22.

September 13 — The Citadel at Gardner-Webb, 7:00 pm ET

Gardner-Webb has one of the tougher stretches to begin the year in all of FCS.

G-W opens at Western Carolina, which is ranked 18th in the Stats Perform Top 25 Preseason Poll. The Runnin’ Bulldogs then travel to Atlanta to face Georgia Tech, which was picked 4th in the ACC preseason poll.

That is the game Gardner-Webb will play before its matchup with The Citadel, and will be a stern test, though it is worth noting that the Yellow Jackets have a recent history of struggling against FCS opponents nicknamed Bulldogs.

The week after hosting The Citadel, Gardner-Webb has a second FBS game, making the trip up north to tangle with defending MAC champion Ohio.

After a bye week, G-W finally begins conference play on October 4 with a home game versus Charleston Southern. I’m mentioning this mostly because that game has recently been dubbed the “BBQ Bowl“:

The Runnin’ Bulldogs and the Buccaneers will compete annually for bragging rights and the North-South BBQ Trophy, which features a hefty hog adorned with a placard to engrave each year’s winning team and score.

Most importantly, the losing team will be tasked with supplying a barbecue feast to the winning side — North Carolina-style (Western BBQ, of course) or South Carolina-style, as chosen by the victors.

Presumably, the winning team will choose South Carolina-style BBQ, regardless of which squad wins the game.

September 20 — Mercer at The Citadel, 2:00 pm ET (Parents’ Weekend)

Mercer, the preseason SoCon favorite, has a fairly weird start to the season. The Bears will face UC Davis of the Big Sky in Week 0 (on August 23), playing in the FCS Kickoff game at the Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama. Both teams are ranked in the Stats Perform preseason poll (UC Davis is 8th, Mercer 11th). That game will be televised on ESPN at 7:00 pm ET, which won’t be bad at all in terms of exposure.

The following week, Mercer hosts Presbyterian. The Bears then have a bye week before beginning league play with a home game versus Wofford. The following week, Mercer travels to Charleston to face the Bulldogs.

After the game against The Citadel, Mercer stays on the road to play East Tennessee State before returning to Macon to meet Samford. Then, on October 11, Mercer plays Princeton in New Jersey, trying to become the second SoCon team to win at Powers Field. MU has a second bye after that game (getting an extra bye as a result of playing on Week 0).

September 27 — The Citadel at Chattanooga, 6:00 pm ET

Chattanooga has a tough schedule, kind of low-key in a way, but demanding nonetheless. The Mocs open the season at Memphis, and then play another road game at Tennessee Tech. The Golden Eagles won 7 games last year, including their last five, and are ranked #21 in the Stats Perform preseason poll.

After its home opener against Stetson, which should be a bit of a breather (but you never know), Chattanooga has another road game against a team ranked in the preseason poll, Tarleton State (#10). If you are unfamiliar with Tarleton State, don’t be too upset, as the Texans have only been in FCS since 2020. Despite just arriving in Division I, however, TSU’s power brokers already have designs on a spot in FBS.

Chattanooga hosts The Citadel the week following its game at Tarleton State. The Mocs then play at VMI, facing military schools in consecutive weeks, before a bye week that will probably be much-needed.

October 4 — Bye Week for The Citadel

The Citadel is the only SoCon team not playing on October 4.

Without the Bulldogs in the mix, what are your viewing options? It is hard to imagine watching football if The Citadel isn’t involved, so I would recommend making vacation plans of some kind, perhaps an overseas trip.

If you really insist on watching some pigskin, though, here is a list of some of the FBS games which will be played on October 4:

  • Miami (FL) at Florida State
  • Clemson at North Carolina
  • Vanderbilt at Alabama
  • Texas at Florida
  • Wisconsin at Michigan
  • Minnesota at Ohio State
  • Kansas State at Baylor
  • Texas Tech at Houston
  • Air Force at Navy
  • Boise State at Notre Dame

Among the teams also on a bye for the week: South Carolina, Auburn, LSU, Arkansas, Missouri, Mississippi, Tennessee, Georgia Tech, Oregon, Southern California, Iowa, Arizona State, and Utah.

So yes, October 4 is a fairly popular bye week.

October 11 — Valdosta State at The Citadel, 2:00 pm ET (Hall of Fame Weekend/Military Appreciation Day)

I’m still not sure why The Citadel decided to schedule a non-conference game against last year’s Division II national runner-up; it just seems to me that if another home game was desired (laudable) and only non-D1 options were on the table (okay, whatever), settling on a mid-season game against a program as historically successful as the Blazers wasn’t really the way to go.

That was under the previous athletics administration, to be sure.

At any rate, Valdosta State (which has a new coach and a revamped roster) will face The Citadel after playing two straight home games. Following a bye week, VSU hosts UNC Pembroke on September 27, and then Lenoir-Rhyne the week before playing the Bulldogs. The Blazers shouldn’t be looking past either of those squads, particularly Lenoir-Rhyne, which won 10 games last season and made it to the second round of the D-2 playoffs.

That said, neither of those games is a conference matchup, as VSU hardly has any conference matchups. Due to a mass exodus of schools after last season, the Gulf South Conference only has four football-playing members for the 2025 campaign. As a result, Valdosta State won’t play a league contest until November 1 against West Alabama — its first of just three conference games.

Following its game against The Citadel, VSU will have another bye week before hosting North Greenville for Homecoming, its seventh (and final) non-conference matchup of the season.

October 18 — Western Carolina at The Citadel, 2:00 pm ET

I mentioned earlier that Western Carolina opens its season by hosting Gardner-Webb. The next week, WCU plays at Wake Forest in one of the more interesting FCS-over-FBS possibilities on the September slate.

The Catamounts also have non-conference games in September against Elon (at home) and Campbell (on the road).

Prior to its matchup at The Citadel, Western Carolina hosts Furman. In fact, WCU will play all three South Carolina-based SoCon schools in consecutive weeks, as the Catamounts are at Wofford the week before facing the Paladins.

Following the game versus the Bulldogs, WCU has a bye week, and then finishes the regular-season campaign with contests against Chattanooga, Mercer, East Tennessee State, and VMI (the first and last of those being road games).

October 25 — The Citadel at Furman, 2:00 pm ET

This matchup will be Furman’s Homecoming game, though FU will still have two home contests remaining after the contest. The Paladins are at Wofford the week before facing The Citadel, and host Mercer the week afterwards.

Furman then travels to Chattanooga before playing its final game at Paladin Stadium, this time against VMI. The Paladins finish the regular season at Clemson.

Furman’s bye week this year is rather early (September 20), so it will play nine straight weeks to close the campaign — eight consecutive league contests before the finale in Death Valley.

The Paladins have three non-conference games besides the Clemson matchup, and they are also Furman’s first three contests of the season. FU has home games versus William & Mary and Presbyterian and a road trip to play Campbell.

November 1 — VMI at The Citadel, 2:00 pm ET (Military Classic of the South)

The Keydets open the season with all four of their non-conference games, three of which are on the road (Navy, Bucknell, and Richmond). VMI’s one non-league home contest is a matchup with Ferrum (a D2 school). It then enjoys a bye week on September 27 before beginning SoCon action.

VMI’s game against The Citadel is the second of two straight road contests for the Keydets. The week before playing the Bulldogs, VMI travels to Mercer.

The following week is Military Appreciation Day in Lexington, Virginia, and the Keydets are hosting Wofford. They will then play at Furman, another instance of a team playing three consecutive matchups against the SoCon’s Palmetto State trio.

VMI will then conclude regular-season play with a home game versus Western Carolina.

November 8 — The Citadel at Mississippi, 1:00 pm ET

As mentioned above, Mississippi has a bye week on October 4, just like The Citadel.

Mississippi’s other three non-conference games are against Georgia State (the season opener), Tulane, and Washington State. All of those are also in Oxford. Mississippi thus has eight home games this season, including three of its last four regular-season contests.

Oh, but that closing stretch. The Citadel is a “sandwich” game for the Rebels, with Mississippi hosting South Carolina the week before and Florida the week afterwards. Following the game against the Gators, the Rebels have another bye week before facing Mississippi State in Starkville in the Egg Bowl.

Prior to that home game versus the Gamecocks, Mississippi has two road games — at Georgia and at Oklahoma.

November 15 — Wofford at The Citadel, 2:00 pm ET (Homecoming)

Wofford opens the season in Orangeburg against South Carolina State, and then hosts Richmond. After beginning SoCon play the following week at Mercer, the Terriers make the journey to Blacksburg to face Virginia Tech (the Mike Young Invitational).

All of Wofford’s games after its September 27 bye week are league affairs except one, an October 11 matchup against Michael Vick’s Norfolk State squad (kind of a Virginia Tech theme here). That game is Homecoming for the Terriers.

Before facing The Citadel, Wofford travels to VMI, so the Terriers get the military schools back-to-back. After playing the Bulldogs, Wofford finishes the regular season with a home game versus Chattanooga.

November 22 — The Citadel at East Tennessee State, 1:00 pm ET

The Buccaneers start the season with four non-conference games, hosting Murray State in the opener before making the trek to Knoxville to do battle with Tennessee. ETSU then plays at West Georgia before a home game versus Elon.

East Tennessee State has a late bye week, not taking a break until November 1; the week before, it has a Homecoming game versus Wofford.

ETSU then finishes the regular season with two road games against Samford and Western Carolina before hosting The Citadel.

There you have it. None of The Citadel’s opponents has a bye week before playing The Citadel, though Samford does have those aforementioned two extra days of prep because its opener is on a Thursday.

On the other side of the equation, the Bulldogs’ one “rest” advantage is against a non-conference opponent, so none of its SoCon competitors are affected.

Two of The Citadel’s opponents have a bye week after playing the Bulldogs — Valdosta State and Western Carolina.

The Citadel has two home games against teams that play a road game before facing the Bulldogs at Johnson Hagood Stadium — VMI and Wofford.

The Bulldogs face two squads that play at home before also hosting The Citadel — Samford and Mississippi.

Basically, there are no real scheduling breaks in either direction. It is just a very tough slate.

A short statistical look at North Dakota State’s 2024 football campaign

Previous posts this summer:

Shakogami!

Football attendance review for The Citadel, SoCon, and FCS in general

Football practice at The Citadel has begun. It is a little warm out there.

This stats review is not really meant to be extensive. I just wanted to create a profile, and then comment on a few aspects of it. I am reasonably confident in the accuracy of the statistics; as always, please blame the NCAA for any errors. 

Okay, let’s look at this thing:

  North Dakota State NDSU Opponents
Points per game 38.1 18.6
Points per possession 3.836 1.817
Starting Field Position Average 32.22 26.74
Long scrimmage plays (15+ yard reception/10+ yard rush) 169 (10.6 per game) 138 (8.6 per game)
Total Turnovers 6 (5 INT, 1 lost fumble) 25 (11 INT, 14 recovered fumbles)
Expected total turnovers 13.36 23.38
Points off turnovers 97 10
Possessions (kneel-downs excluded) 159 (9.94 per game) 164 (10.25 per game)
Offensive Plays 1044 (65.3 per game) 936 (58.5 per game)
Offensive rush play % (sack-adjusted) 60.73% 49.89%
Yards/rush (sack-adjusted) 5.07 4.79
Yards/pass attempt (sack-adjusted) 8.46 6.19
Pass completion percentage 71.79% 61.38%
Yards/play 6.40 5.49
3rd down conversions 54.46% (110-202) 43.28% (87-201)
4th down conversions 68.18% (15-22) 34.78% (8-23)
Red Zone TD% 77.3% (58-75) 59.5% (25-42)
Punt return average 11.84 (1 TD) 11.73 (0 TDs)
Net punting 36.77 yards (2 blocked) 35.81 yards (1 blocked)
Kickoff return average 25.91 yards (2 TDs) 21.54 yards (0 TDs)
Kickoff touchback percentage 63.06% 29.03%
Field goals 15 for 19, long of 54 13 for 18, long of 50
Points after touchdowns 77 for 77 PAT (1-4 going for 2) 31 for 32 PAT (3-5 going for 2)
Time of possession per game 33:04 26:56
TOP/offensive play 30.41 sec 27.62 sec
Penalties per game 5.75 (46.75 yards) 5.56 (50.69 yards)
Sacks (defense) 34 for 247 yards 20 for 122 yards
Defensive forced fumbles 19 3
Defensive 3-and-outs+ 51 (31.1% of all possessions) 25 (15.7% of all possessions)

It is easy to see how North Dakota State finished 14-2, with one loss by a TD at Colorado and the other a one-point setback in the regular-season finale at South Dakota. A few of the statistical categories are such outliers (in an impressive way) that they merit further discussion. 

We have to start with the turnovers. NDSU only committed six turnovers in 16 games last season, which is remarkable. Primarily because of that incredible ability to hold onto the football, the Bison excelled in other areas as well.

For example, take the field position advantage. Did it help to have a kicker who routinely produced touchbacks on kickoffs? Yes. Was the defense good enough to tilt the field as well? Yes (and we’ll get to that in more detail). However, almost never turning the ball over meant that NDSU rarely put its defense in a bad spot. 

Opponents had 164 possessions against the Bison last year. Only eight of those started in NDSU territory. Eight! And three of those came during a bizarre stretch at Murray State, when the Bison punt unit momentarily became unglued (suffering NDSU’s only two blocked kicks of the entire season, plus another misplay). North Dakota State led 52-3 at the time, so it didn’t matter.

There was only one situation last year in which the NDSU defense faced a critical “must stop” drive by an opponent that began in Bison territory. That came in North Dakota State’s playoff opener against a feisty Abilene Christian squad. The Wildcats jumped out to a 14-3 lead at the Fargodome, and then suddenly had the ball on the NDSU 13-yard line after an interception.

North Dakota State’s D responded, holding ACU to one yard on three plays, leading to a field goal. You can almost guess what happened next. NDSU returned the ensuing kickoff 100 yards for a touchdown, and eventually scored the game’s next 31 points. Momentum, baby.

I will say that North Dakota State was a bit fortunate with turnover luck. NDSU actually fumbled ten times last season (which isn’t bad), but somehow only lost one of those fumbles. Part of that might have been due to the nature of the fumbles; opponents actually forced just three of them. Conversely, the Bison defense forced 19 fumbles (out of 23 total by opponents), recovering 14.

NDSU’s offense also was a little fortuitous when it came to interceptions, as passes defensed numbers suggest that the Bison probably should have suffered about three more picks. However, that didn’t happen, and on the field that is what counts.

In general NDSU’s passing attack was stellar, leading the nation in offensive pass efficiency. That included finishing second in FCS in completion percentage and in total TD passes; the Bison also averaged 12.81 yards per reception.

It doesn’t come as a surprise that between the efficient passing and a ground game that averaged over five yards per carry (sack-adjusted), NDSU was third nationally in 3rd-down conversion rate and eighth overall in 4th-down conversion rate. Consequently, the Bison also finished fifth in FCS in time of possession per game (with 36 of its 159 drives lasting five minutes or longer).

I mentioned above that North Dakota State’s defense recovered 14 fumbles (tied for third overall in FCS). The Bison also intercepted 11 passes. Both are solid totals (even in 16 games). 

There is another aspect to this worth mentioning. North Dakota State forced a three-and-out on 35 opponent possessions in 2024. You will notice on the table, though, that for the category ‘Defensive 3-and-outs +’, I have the number at 51.

The difference is the “+” part of the equation. Besides the standard three-and-outs, NDSU actually forced a turnover on the first three plays of an opponent’s drive 12 times. There were also four instances when an opponent turned the ball over on downs after just four plays of a possession.

That is what your garden-variety football TV analyst calls “sudden change”, and the Bison profited hugely in those situations. 

While opponents only received the ball on the NDSU side of the field to start a drive eight times last season, North Dakota State’s offense began possessions in enemy territory 24 times — and that doesn’t even account for two pick-sixes by the Bison defense, both of which came within the first three plays of an opposing drive.

For the season, NDSU scored 97 points off turnovers; its opponents, just 10. 

So, to sum up: North Dakota State was pretty good last year. There is a decent chance NDSU will be pretty good this season, too.

Less than four weeks to go…